There is – as every year – a new hype cycle for education by Gartner, with learning analytics at the peak of inflated expectations. You can check the list here, but a picture – that I found via this tweet – says more than a 1000 words:
As a reminder (from Wikipedia):
|1||Technology Trigger||A potential technology breakthrough kicks things off. Early proof-of-concept stories and media interest trigger significant publicity. Often no usable products exist and commercial viability is unproven.|
|2||Peak of Inflated Expectations||Early publicity produces a number of success stories—often accompanied by scores of failures. Some companies take action; most don’t.|
|3||Trough of Disillusionment||Interest wanes as experiments and implementations fail to deliver. Producers of the technology shake out or fail. Investments continue only if the surviving providers improve their products to the satisfaction of early adopters.|
|4||Slope of Enlightenment||More instances of how the technology can benefit the enterprise start to crystallize and become more widely understood. Second- and third-generation products appear from technology providers. More enterprises fund pilots; conservative companies remain cautious.|
|5||Plateau of Productivity||Mainstream adoption starts to take off. Criteria for assessing provider viability are more clearly defined. The technology’s broad market applicability and relevance are clearly paying off.|
I have to admit that I was a but surprised by some of the positions. Big data in education is going through the trough, while learning analytics is at the peak? While big data is more than learning analytics, you can’t have the second without the first. I also think that a lot of people will hate that gamification is at an all time low. But while the past years MOOC’s were even disappearing from the hype cycle, MOOC platforms are now on the rise? If you want to see the evolution of the hype cycle over the years, check this tool.
Oh, if you wonder what SAAS is? Software-as-a-Service.